Handford, T., Pérez-Reche, F., Taraskin, S.N., da F Costa, L., Miazaka, M., Neri, F.M. & Gilligan, C.A. Epidemics in anisotropic networks of roots Complenet 2011 Accepted
Kleczkowski, A., Olés, K., Gudowska-Nowa, E. & Gilligan, C.A. Searching for the most cost-effective strategy of controlling epidemics Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Interface 2011 Accepted
Pérez-Reche, F.J., Ludlum, J.J., Taraskin, S.N. & Gilligan, C.A. Epidemics with synergistic effects in transmission of disease Physics Review Letters 2011 Accepted
Cunniffe, N.J. & Gilligan, C.A. A theoretical framework for biological control of soil-borne plant pathogens: identifying efficient strategies Journal of Theoretical Biology 2011 278 http://dx/doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.02.023 32-43
Demon, I., Cunniffe, N.J., Marchant, B.P., Gilligan, C.A. & van den Bosch, F. Optimised spatial sampling to detect an invasive pathogen outside and eradication zone Phytopathology 2011 101 http://dx.doi.org/10.1094/PHYTO-05-09-0120 725-731
Kovacs, K., Vaclavík, T., Haight, R.G., Pang, A., Cunniffe, N.J., Gilligan, C.A. & Meentemeyer, R.K. Predicting the economic costs and property value losses attributed to sudden oak death damage in California 2010-2020 Journal of Environmental Management 2011 92 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2010.12.018 1292-1302
Meentemeyer, R.K., Cunniffe, N.J., Cook, A.R., Hunter, R.D., Rizzo, D.M. & Gilligan C.A. Application of stochastic epidemiological models to realistic landscapes: spread of the sudden oak death pathogen in California 1990–2030 Ecosphere 2011 2 http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/ES10-00192.1 art17
Kovacs, K., Václavík, T., Haight, R. G., Pang, A., Cunniffe, N. J., Gilligan, C. A. & Meentemeyer, R. K. (2011) Predicting the economic costs and property value losses attributed to sudden oak death damage in California (2010-2020. Journal of Environmental Management92: 1292-1302.
Ndeffo-Mbah, M.L. and Gilligan, C.A. (2010) Balancing detection and eradication for control of epidemics: sudden oak death in mixed-species stands. PLoS One5(9): e12317. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0012317
Neri, F. M., Pérez-Reche, F. J., Taraskin, S. N. & Gilligan, C. A. (2010) Heterogeneity in SIR epidemics on lattices. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, Online doi: 10.1098/?rsif.2010.0325.
van den Berg, F., Gilligan, C.A., Bailey, D.J. and van den Bosch, F. (2010) Periodicity in host availability does not account for evolutionary branching as observed in many plant pathogens: an application to Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici. Phytopathology100: 1169-1175.
Ndeffo-Mbah, M.L., Forster, G.A., Wesseler, J.H. and Gilligan, C.A. (2010) Economically optimal timing for pest-control under uncertainty: an options approach. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 7: 1421-1428.
van den Berg, F. Gilligan, C.A., Gerdessen, C., Gregoire, L.A.H., van den Bosch, F. (2010) Optimal weed management in crop rotations; incorporating economics is crucial. Weed Research50: 413-424 Online DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-3180.2010.00787.x
Handford, T., P érez-Reche, F., Taraskin, S. N., Costa, L. F., Miazaki, M., Neri, F. M. & Gilligan, C. A. (2010) Epidemics in networks of spatially correlated three-dimensional root branching structures. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, (Online: doi: 10.1098/rsif.2010.0296).
Pérez-Reche, F., Taraskin, S. N., Costa, L. F., Neri, F. M. and Gilligan, C. A (2010) Complexity and anisotropy in host morphology make populations safer against epidemic outbreaks. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 7: 1083-1092.
Parnell, S., van den Bosch, F., Gottwald, T.R. and Gilligan, C.A. (2010) The effect of landscape pattern on the optimal eradication of an invading epidemic. Phytopathology100: 637-644.
Ndeffo-Mbah, M.L. and Gilligan, C.A. (2010) Optimization of control strategies for epidemics in heterogeneous populations with symmetric and asymmetric transmission. Journal of Theoretical Biology262: 757-763
Cunniffe, N.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (2010) Invasion, persistence and control in epidemic models: the effect of host demography. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 7: 439-451.
Parnell, S., Gottwald, T.R., van den Bosch, F., & Gilligan, C.A. (2009) Optimal strategies for the eradication of Asiatic citrus canker in heterogeneous landscapes. Phytopathology99: 1370-1376.
Pérez-Reche, F., Taraskin, S. N., Neri, F. M., Gilligan, C. A., Costa, L. F., Viana, M. P., Otten, W. & Grinev, D. (2009) Biological invasion in soil: complex network analysis. IEEE Digital Signal Processing, (Online: http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpls/abs_all.jsp?arnumber=5201098)
Gilligan, C.A. Cunniffe, N.J., Cook, A.R., DeSimone, R.E. & Gottwald. T.R. (2009) Use of mathematical models to inform control of an emerging epidemic. Plant Health Management IRCHLB Proceedings 2008: www.plantmanagementnetwork.org 10.4 296-300.
Gottwald, T.R., Irey, M., Gast, T., Parnell, S., Bergamin-Filho, A., Bassanezi, R, & Gilligan, C.A. (2009) A stochastic spatiotemporal analysis of the contribution of primary versus secondary spread of Huanglongbing disease. Plant Health Management IRCHLB Proceedings 2008: www.plantmanagementnetwork.org 10.2 285-290.
Bailey, D. J., Paveley, N., Spink, J., Lucas, P. & Gilligan, C. A. (2009) Epidemiological analysis of take-all decline in winter wheat. Phytopathology, 7: 861-868.
Rowthorn, R. E., Laxminarayan, R. & Gilligan, C. A. (2009) Optimal control of epidemics in metapopulations. Journal of the Royal Society Interface6: 1135-1144. (Online: doi:10.1098/rsif.2008.040).
Cunniffe, N. J. & Gilligan, C. A. (2009) Scaling from mycelial growth to infection dynamics: a reaction diffusion approach. Fungal Ecology. 1: 133-142.
Dybiec, B., Kleczkowski, A. & Gilligan, C. A. (2009) Modelling control of epidemics spreading by long-range interactions. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 6: 941-950.
Gilligan, C.A. & van den Bosch, F. (2008) Epidemiological models for invasion and persistence of pathogens. Annual Review of Phytopathology. 46: 385-418.
van den Bosch, F. & Gilligan, C.A. (2008) Models of fungicide resistance dynamics. Annual Review of Phytopathology. 46: 123-147.
Cook, A. R., Gibson, G. J. & Gilligan, C. A. (2008) Optimal observation times in experimental epidemic processes. Biometrics. 64: 860-868.
Jeger, M., Lamour, A., Gilligan, C. A. & Otten, W. (2008) A fungal growth model fitted to carbon-limited dynamics of Rhizoctonia solani. New Phytologist178: 625-633 doi:10.1111/j.1469-8137.2008.02394.x.
Parnell, S., Gilligan, C. A., Lucas, J. A., Bock, C. H. & van den Bosch, F. (2008) Changes in fungicide sensitivity and relative species abundance: Oculimacula yallundae and O. acuformis populations (eyespot disease of cereals) in western Europe. Plant Pathology, 57: 509-517. doi:10.1111/j.1365-3059.2007.01786.x.
Bailey, D.J., Biran, G., Kerry, B.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (2008) Pathozone dynamics of Meloidogyne incognita in the rhizosphere of tomato plants in the presence and absence of the nematophagous fungus, Pochonia chlamydosporia. Plant Pathology57: 354-362.
Cook AR, Gibson GJ, Gottwald TR, Gilligan CA. (2008) Constructing the effect of alternative intervention strategies on historic epidemics. Journal of the Royal Society Interface5: 1203-1213. doi:10.1098/rsif.2008.0030.
Cook, A. R., Otten, W., Marion, G., Gibson, G. J. & Gilligan, C. A. (2008) Estimation of multiple transmission rates for epidemics in heterogeneous populations. Proceedings of the National Academy of the United States of America. 104: 20392-20397.
Gilligan, C.A. (2008) Sustainable agriculture and plant disease: an epidemiological
perspective. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, Series B. 363: 741-759. doi rstb.2007.218
Kleczkowski, A. & Gilligan, C.A. (2007) Parameter estimation and prediction for the
course of a single epidemic outbreak of a plant disease. Journal of the Royal Society
Interface16: 856-877.
Gilligan C.A., Stacey AJ, Truscott JE. (2007). Impact of scale on the effectiveness of
disease control strategies for epidemics with cryptic infection in a dynamical landscape: an
example for a crop disease. Journal of the Royal Society Interface16:
925-934.
Klein, E., Laxminarayan, R., Smith, D. L. & Gilligan, C. A. (2007) Economic incentives
and mathematical models of disease. Environment and Development Economics 12: 707-732
Forster, G.A. and Gilligan, C.A. (2007) Optimizing the control of disease infestations
at the landscape scale. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science104:
4984-4989
Van den Bosch, F., Jeger, M.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (2007)
Disease control and its selection for damaging plant virus strains in
vegetatively propagated staple food crops; a theoretical assessment.
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences.274
: 11-18
Hall, R.J., Gubbins, S. G. & Gilligan, C.A. (2007) Evaluating the performance of
Chemical Control in the Presence of Resistant Pathogens. Bulletin of Mathematical
Biology.69: 525-537
Gibson, G.J., Otten, W., Filipe, J.A.N., Cook, A., Marion, G. & Gilligan, C.A. (2006)
Bayesian estimation for percolation models of disease spread in plant populations.
Statistics & Computing,16: 391-402.
White, K.A.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (2006) The role of initial inoculum in epidemic dynamics.
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 242: 670-682.
Mertens, S.K., Yearsley, J,M., van den Bosch, F., and Gilligan C.A. (2006) Transient
population dynamics in periodic matrix models: methodology and effects of cyclic
permutations. Ecology87: 2338-2348.
Parnell, S., van den Bosch, F. & Gilligan, C.A. (2006) Large-scale fungicide spray
heterogeneity and the regional spread of resistant plant pathogens. Phytopathology96: 549-555.
Bailey, D.J., Kleczkowski, A. & Gilligan C.A. (2006) An epidemiological analysis of the
role of disease-induced root growth in the differential response of two cultivars of winter
wheat to infection by the take-all pathogen, Gaeumannomyces graminis. var.
tritici. Phytopathology96: 510-516.
Otten, W. & Gilligan, C.A. (2005) Soil structure and soil-borne diseases: using
epidemiological concepts to scale from fungal spread to plant epidemics. European
Journal of Soil Science. 57: 26-37.
Taraskin, S., Ludlam, J., Neugebauer, C.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (2005)
Extinction of epidemics in lattice models with quenched disorder. Physical
Review E.72: 01611
Fitter, A. H., Gilligan, C. A., Hollingworth, K., Kleczkowski, A., Twyman, R. &
Pitchford, J. W. and the members of the NERC soil biodiversity programme. (2005)
Biodiversity and ecosystem function in soil. Functional Ecology. Functional
Ecology. 19: 369-377.
Otten, W., Filipe, J. & Gilligan, C. A. (2005)
Damping-off epidemics, contact structure, and disease transmission in mixed-species
populations Ecology. 86: 1948-1957.
C. Pillinger, N. Paveley, M.J. Foulkes and J. Spink (2005). Explaining
variation in the effects of take-all (Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici)
on nitrogen and water uptake by winter wheat. Plant Pathology,54, 491-501.
Parnell, S., Gilligan, C.A. & van den Bosch, F. (2005) The effect of spray heterogeneity
on fungicide invasion and persistence. Phytopathology95: 632-639.
Claessen, D., Gilligan, C.A., Lutman, P. & van den Bosch, F (2005) Which traits promote
persistence of feral GM crops: Part 1 implications of environmental stochasticity
Oikos110: 20-29.
Claessen, D., Gilligan, C. A. & van den Bosch, F. (2005) Which traits promote
persistence of feral GM crops? Part 2: implications of metapopulation structure.
Oikos110: 30-42.
Bailey, D.J., Foulks, J., Pillinger, C. Spink, J. Paveley, N.A. & Gilligan, C.A. (2005)
Epidemiology and control of take-all on seminal and adventitious roots of wheat.
Phytopathology95 62-68.
Dybiec, B., Kleczkowski, A. and Gilligan, C.A. (2005) Optimizing control of disease
spread on networks with incomplete knowledge. Acta Physica Polonica36 (5)
1509-1526.
Kleczkowski, A. (2005) Predictability in simple population models.
Acta Physica Polonica36 (5) 1623-1634.
Gilligan, C.A., Claessen, D. & van den Bosch F. (2005) Spatio and temporal dynamics of
gene movements arising from deployment of transgenic crops. pp. 143-161. in
Environmental costs and benefits of transgenic crops (ed. J. Wesseler). Dordrecht:
Springer.
Otten, W., Bailey, D. J., Ludlam, J. J. & Gilligan, C. A. (2004) Can incomplete spatial
coverage of control measures prevent invasion of fungal parasites? In Management of
plant diseases and arthropod pests by biocontrol agents and their integration into
agricultural systems. S. Michelle all'Adige, Trentino, Italy, 9-13 June 2004. (ed. I.
Pertot, Y. Elad & A. Engkegaard), pp. 251-254: IOBC.
Otten, W., Bates, A. & Gilligan, C. A. (2004) Analysis of efficacy of a biocontrol agent
to reduce transmission of infection in damping-off epidemics. In Management of plant
diseases and arthropod pests by biocontrol agents and their integration into agricultural
systems. S. Michelle all'Adige, Trentino, Italy, 9-13 June 2004. (ed. I. Pertot, Y.
Elad & A. Engkegaard), pp.275-280. IOBC.
Dybiec, B., Kleczkowski, A. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) Controlling disease spread on
networks with incomplete knowledge. Physical Reviews Series E70 066145
(5pp).
Gudelj, I., van den Bosch, F. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) Transmission rates and adaptive
evolution of plant pathogens in heterogeneous plant populations. Proceedings of the
Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences.271: 2187-2194.
Gibson, G.J., Kleczkowski A. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) A Bayesian analysis of botanical
epidemics using stochastic compartmental models. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Science101 (12120-12124)
Filipe, J.A.N., Maule, M.M. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) On "Analytical models for the patchy
spread of plant disease". Bulletin of Mathematical Biology66 1027-1037
Hall, R.J., Gubbins, S.G. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) Invasion of drug and resistence is
determined by a trade-off between biocide efficacy and relative fitness. Bulletin of
Mathematical Biology (2004) 66, 835-840.
Keeling, M. Brooks, S.P., Gilligan, C.A. (2004) Using conservation of pattern to
approximate spatial parameters from a single snapshot. Proceedings of the National
Academy of Science101: 9155-9160.
Otten, W., Bailey, D.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) Empirical evidence of spatial thresholds
to control invasion of fungal parasites and saproptrophs. New Phytologist163: 125-132.
Otten, W., Filipe, J.A.N. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) An empirical method to test the effect
of soil on the rate of transmission of damping-off disease. New Phytologist162: 231-238.
Bailey, D.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) Modelling and analysis of disease-induced root
growth in the epidemiology of take-all. Phytopathology.94: 535-540.
Filipe, J.A.N., Otten, W. O., Gibson, G.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) Inferring the
dynamics of a spatial epidemic from time series data. Bulletin of Mathematical
Biology66: 373-391.
Otten, W., Harris, K., Young, I.M., Ritz, K. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) Preferential spread
of the pathogenic fungus Rhizoctonia solani through structered soil. Soil
Biology & Biochemistry.36: 203-210.
Stacey, A.J., Truscott, J.E., Asher, M.J.C. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) A model for invasion
and spread of rhizomania in the UK: implications for disease control strategies.
Phytopathology94: 209-215.
Bailey, D.J., Kleczkowski, A. & Gilligan, C.A. (2004) Epidemiological dynamics and the
efficiency of biological control of soil-borne disease in consecutive crops. New
Phytologist161: 560-577.
Jamieson, L.E. & Brooks, S.P. (2004) Density dependence in North American ducks,
Animal Biodiversity and Conservation 26: 1.
Filipe, J.A.N., and Gilligan, C.A. (2003). On the solution to epidemics with frozen
transients and latency. Physical Reviews Series E 67: 021906. 8 pp.
van den Bosch, F. & Gilligan, C.A.(2003) Measures of durability of resistance.
Phytopathology 93: 616-625.
Harris, K., Ritz, K. Young, I.M., Gilligan, C.A. & Otten, W. (2003) Effect of bulk density
on growth and spatial organisation of Rhizoctonia solani in soil. FEMS
Microbial Ecology44: 45-56.
Truscott, J.T. & Gilligan, C.A. (2003) Stochastic response of a deterministic
epidemiological system to a stochastically-varying environment. Proceedings of the
National Academy of Science. 100: 9067-9072.
Otten, W., Filipe, J., Bailey, D.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (2003) Quantification and analysis of
transmission rates for soil-borne epidemics. Ecology.84: 3232-3239
Mertens, S.K., Gilligan, C.A. & van den Bosch, F. (2003) Effects of initial conditions
on weed seedbank dynamics in crop rotations. Aspects of Applied Biology69,
223-228
Otten, W., Harris, K., Young, I.M., Ritz, K. & Gilligan, C.A. (2003) Soil structure, fungal
exploration and consequences for biocontrol. In (ed. Y. Elad, J. Kohl & D. Shtienberg),
pp.85-89. IOBC.
Otten, W., Harris, K., Hall, D., Young, I.M., Ritz, K. & Gilligan, C.A. (2003) The
heterogeneous soil environment: Are there preferential pathways for fungal spread? In
Influence of Abiotic and Biotic Factors on Biocontrol Agents (ed. Y. Elad, J. Kohl
& D. Shtienberg), pp. 283-287 IOBC.
Kleczkowski, A. & Góra, P.F. (2003) Quenched disorder and long-tail
distributions. Physica A327 (3-4): 378-398.
Jamieson, L.E. & Brooks, S.P. (2003) State Space Models for Density
Dependence in Population Ecology, pp 565-575, Bayesian Statistics 7, eds.
Bernardo J.M.B., Berger J.O., Dawid A.P., & Smith M., OUP, Oxford.
Publications 2000-2002
Gilligan, C.A. (2002) An epidemiological framework for disease management. Advances in
Botanical Research 38: 1-64.
Gilligan, C.A. (2002) Economics of transgenic crops and pest resistance: an epidemiological
perspective pp. 221-243 in Economics of resistance R. Laxminarayan (ed.). Resources
for The Future, Washington.
Harris, K. Crabb, D., Young, I.M. , Weaver, H., Gilligan, C.A., Otten, W. & Ritz, K. (2002)
In situ visualisation of fungi in soil thin sections: problems with crystallisation of the
fluorochrome FB 28 (Calcofluor M2R) and improved staining by SCRI Renaissance 2200
Mycological Research 106: 293-297.
Park, A. Gubbins, S. & Gilligan, C.A. (2002) Extinction times for spatially-structured
closed epidemics. Ecology Letters 5: 747-755.
Truscott, J.T. & Gilligan, C.A. (2001) The effect of cultivation on the size, shape and
persistence of disease patches in fields. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Science 98: 7128-7133.
Bailey, D.J., Thornton, C.R. Dewey, F.M. & Gilligan, C.A. (2001) A non-destructive
monoclonal antibody-based technique for the visualisation and quantification of saprotrophic
growth dynamics of the soil-borne plant pathogen Rhizoctonia solani. Mycological
research 105: 983-990.
Park, A.W. Gubbins, S. & Gilligan, C.A. (2001) Invasion and persistence of disease in a
spatially structured metapopulation. Oikos 94: 162-174.
Otten, W., Hall, D. Harris, K., Ritz, K. Young, I.M. and Gilligan, C.A. (2001) Soil
physics, fungal epidemiology and the spread of Rhizoctonia solani. New
Phytologist 151: 459-468.
Stacey, A.J., Truscott, J. & Gilligan, C.A. (2001) Soil-borne fungal plant pathogens:
scaling-up from hyphal to colony behaviour and the probability of disease transmission.
New Phytologist 150: 169-177.
Gudowska-Nowak, E., Kleczkowski, A., Kraft, G., Nasonova, E., Ritter, S. &
Scholz, M. (2001) Mathematical Models of Radiation-Induced Mitotic Delay:
Time-Course Analysis and Statistics of Lesions, Physica Medica17:
161-163.
Keeling, M. & Gilligan, C.A. (2000) Bubonic plague; an epizootic metapopulation model.
Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B 267: 2219-2230.
Webb, C.R., Gilligan, C.A. & Asher, M.J.C. (2000) Modelling the effect of temperature on
the dynamics of Polymyxa betae, the vector of Rhizomania disease. Plant Pathology
49: 600-607.
Keeling, M. & Gilligan, C.A. (2000) Metapopulation dynamics of bubonic plague.
Nature 407: 903-906.
Bailey, D.J., Otten, W.O. & Gilligan, C.A. (2000) Percolation, heterogeneity and the
saprotrophic invasion of soil by the fungal plant pathogen Rhizoctonia solani.
New Phytologist 146: 535-544.
Truscott, J. Gilligan, C.A. & Webb, C.R. (2000) Predicting transient behaviour in
epidemics with primary and secondary infection Bulletin Mathematical Biology
62: 377-393.
Gubbins, S. Gilligan, C.A. & Kleczkowski, A. (2000) Thresholds for invasion in
plant-parasite systems. Theoretical Population Biology 57: 219-234.
Publications 1996-1999
Gubbins, S. & Gilligan, C.A. (1999) Invasion thresholds for fungicide resistance.
Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B 266: 2539-2549.
Thornton, C.R., O'Neill, T.M., Hilton, G. & Gilligan, C.A. (1999) Quantification of
Rhizoctonia solani in naturally infested lettuce soils using a combined
baiting-double monoclonal-antibody ELISA. Plant Pathology 48:
627-634.
Otten, W.O., Gilligan, C.A., Watts, C., Dexter, A.R. & Hall, D. (1999) Continuity of
air-filled pores and invasion thresholds for a soil-borne fungal pathogen, Rhizoctonia
solani. Soil Biology & Biochemistry 31: 1803-1810.
Gibson, G.J., Gilligan, C.A. & Kleczkowski, A. (1999) Predicting variability in
biological control of a plant-pathogen system using stochastic models Proceedings of the
Royal Society Series B 266: 1743-1753.
Willis, K.J., Kleczkowski, A., Briggs, K.M. & Gilligan, C.A. (1999) The effect of
sub-Milankovitch climatic forcing in initiation of the northern hemisphere glaciation
Science 285: 568-571.
Swinton, J. Gilligan, C.A., Harwood, J., & Hall, A.J. (1999) Scaling of phocine
distemper virus transmission with harbour seal community size. Ecologie30:
231-240.
Swinton, J. & Gilligan, C.A. (1999) Selecting hyperparasites for biocontrol of Dutch elm
disease in stochastic spatially-extended epidemics. Proceedings of the Royal Society
Series B 266: 437-445.
Thornton, C.R. & Gilligan, C.A. (1999) Quantification of the effect of the hyperparasite
Trichoderma harzianum on the saprophytic growth dynamics of Rhizoctonia solani in
compost using a monoclonal antibody-based ELISA. Mycological Research 103:
443-448.
Bailey, D.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (1999) The dynamics of primary and secondary infection in
take-all epidemics. Phytopathology 89: 84-91.
Webb, C.R., Gilligan, C.A. & Asher, M.J.C. (1999) A model for the temporal build-up of
Polymyxa betae, the vector of rhizomania disease. Phytopathology 89:
30-38.
Swinton, J. & Gilligan, C.A. (1999) A Modelling approach to the epidemiology of Dutch
elm disease. pp. 73-101 in The Elms: Breeding, Conservation and Disease Management.
C. Dunn. (ed), Kluwer, Norwell.
Kleczkowski, A. & Grenfell, B.T.(1999) Mean-field-type equations for spread
of epidemics: the ‘small-world model’, Physica A274: 355-360; also
published in Applications of Statistical Physics,eds. Gadomski, A, Kert ész, J.,
Stanley, H.E. and Vandewalle N., Elsevier.
Heusser, L., Heusser, C., Kleczkowski, A. & Crowhurst. S.J. (1999) A 50,000
yr record of South American millennial-scale climate instability during the
last glaciation from Chile, Quaternary Research52: 154-158.
Willis, K.J., Kleczkowski, A. & Crowhurst, S. J. (1999) 124,000-year
periodicity in terrestrial vegetation change during the late Pliocene epoch,
Nature397: 685-688.
White, K.A.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (1998) Spatial heterogeneity in
plant-parasite-hyperparasite systems. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society
London, Series B 353: 543-557.
Otten, W. & Gilligan, C.A. (1998) Effect of physical conditions on the spatial and
temporal dynamics of the soil-borne fungal pathogen Rhizoctonia solani. New
Phytologist 138: 629-637.
Swinton, J., Harwood, J., Grenfell, B.T. & Gilligan, C.A. (1998) Persistence thresholds
for PDV infection in harbour seal metapopulations. Journal Animal Ecology
67: 54-68.
Kleczkowski, A. (1998) Statistical properties of dynamical systems with
disturbances: variation in parameters, Proceedings of the Marian
Smoluchowski Symposium on Statistical Physics, Zakopane. Acta Physica
PolonicaB 29: 1717-1735.
Truscott, J.E., Webb, C.R. & Gilligan, C.A. (1997) Asymptotic analysis of an epidemic
model with primary and secondary infection. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
59: 1101-1123.
Kleczkowski, A., Gilligan, C.A. & Bailey, D.J. (1997) Scaling and spatial dynamics in
plant pathogen systems: from individuals to populations. Proceedings of the Royal
Society London, Series B 264: 979-984.
Webb, C.R., Werker, A.R. & Gilligan, C.A. (1997) Modelling the dynamical components of
the sugar beet crop. Annals Botany 80: 427-436.
Gubbins, S. & Gilligan C.A. (1997) Biological control in a disturbed environment
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society London, Series B352:
1935-1949
Otten, W., Gilligan, C.A. & Thornton, C.R. (1997) Quantification of fungal antigens in
soil with a monoclonal antibody-based ELISA: Analysis and Reductions of soil-specific bias.
Phytopathology87: 730-736
Gubbins, S. & Gilligan, C.A. (1997) Persistence of host-parasite interactions in a
disturbed environment. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 188:
241-258.
Simons, S.A. & Gilligan, C.A. (1997) The relationship between stem canker, stolon
canker, black scurf (Rhizoctonia solani) and yield of potatoes (Solanum
tuberosum) under different agronomic regimes. Plant Pathology 46:
651-658.
Simons, S.A. & Gilligan, C.A. (1997) Factors affecting the temporal progress of stem
canker caused by Rhizoctonia solani on potatoes. Plant Pathology 46:
642-650.
Gilligan, C.A. & Kleczkowski, A. (1997) Population dynamics of botanical epidemics
involving primary and secondary infection. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal
Society London, Series B. 352: 591-608.
Gilligan, C.A., Gubbins, S. & Simons, S.A. (1997) Analysis and fitting of an SIR model
with host response to infection load for a plant disease. Philosophical Transactions of
the Royal Society London, Series B 352: 353-364.
Gubbins, S. & Gilligan, C.A. (1997) A test of heterogeneous mixing as a mechanism for
ecological persistence in disturbed environments. Proceedings of the Royal Society
London, Series B 264: 227-232.
Thornton, C.R., Dewey, F.M. & Gilligan, C.A. (1997) Production and characterization of a
monoclonal antibody raised against surface antigens from mycelium of the take-all pathogen,
Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici; evidence for an extracellular polyphenol
oxidase. Phytopathology 87: 123-131.
Bailey, D.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (1997) Biological control of pathozone behaviour and
disease dynamics of Rhizoctonia solani by Trichoderma viride. New
Phytologist 136: 359-367.
Gilligan, C.A. & Bailey, D.J. (1997) Components of pathozone behaviour. New
Phytologist 136: 343-358
Dewey, F.M., Thornton, C.R. & Gilligan, C.A. (1997) Use of monoclonal antibodies to
detect, quantify and visualise fungi in soils. Advances in Botanical Research
24: 276-308.
Swinton, J. & Gilligan, C.A. (1997) Theory, data and experiment in heterogeneous
transmission. Trends in Microbiology 6: 50-51
Thornton C.R., Dewey, F.M. & Gilligan, C.A. (1996) Patent for immunoassay of
Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici.Patent 9617857.9
Gubbins, S. & Gilligan, C.A. (1996) Population dynamics of a parasite and hyperparasite
in a closed system: model analysis and parameter estimation. Proceedings of the Royal
Society London, Series B. 263: 1071-1078.
Kleczkowski, A., Bailey, D.J. & Gilligan, C.A. (1996) Dynamically generated variability
in a plant pathogen system with biological control. Proceedings of the Royal Society
London, Series B. 263: 777-783.
Swinton, J.A. & Gilligan, C.A. (1996) Dutch elm disease and the future of the elm in the
U.K.: a quantitative analysis. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society London,
Series B. 351: 605-615.
Grose, M.J., Gilligan, C.A., Spencer, D., Goddard, B.V.D. (1996) Spatial heterogeneity
of soil water around roots: use of CT-scanning to predict fungal growth in the pathozone.
New Phytologist 132: 262-272.
Gilligan, C.A., Simons, S.A. & Hide, G.A. (1996) Inoculum density and spatial pattern of
Rhizoctonia solani in field plots of potatoes (Solanum tuberosum): effects of
cropping frequency. Plant Pathology 45: 232-244.
Publications pre1996
Grenfell, B.T., Kleczkowski, A., Gilligan, C.A. & Bolker, B.M. (1995) Spatial
heterogeneity, nonlinear dynamics and chaos in infectious diseases. Statistical Methods
in Medical Research 4: 160-183.
Gilligan, C.A. (1995) Modelling soil-borne plant pathogens with special emphasis on
spatial aspects of disease: reaction-diffusion models. Canadian Journal of Plant
Pathology 17: 96-108.
Grenfell, B.T., Bolker, B. & Kleczkowski, A. (1995) Seasonality,
Demography, and Dynamics of Measles in Developed Countries, pp.248-268 In
Epidemic Models, ed. D. Mollison, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Grenfell, B.T. Bolker, B.M. & Kleczkowski, A. (1995) Seasonality and
extinction in chaotic metapopulations, Proceedings of the Royal Society B259: 97-103.
Gilligan, C.A. (1994) Sensitivity analysis of the dynamics of infection of cereal roots
by the take all-fungus using a stochastic simulation model. New Phytologist
128: 539-553.
Gilligan, C.A., Brassett, P.R. & Campbell, A. (1994) Computer simulation of early
infection of cereal roots by the take-all fungus: a detailed stochastic, mechanistic
simulator. New Phytologist 128: 515-527.
Thornton, C.R., Dewey, F.M. & Gilligan, C.A. (1994) Development of monoclonal
antibody-based immunological assays for the detection of live propagules of Rhizoctonia
solani in the soil. pp. 29-35. In Modern Assays for Plant Pathogenic:
Identification, Detection and Quantification, Eds A. Schots, F.M. Dewey & R. Oliver,
CAB International, Wallingford.
Gilligan, C.A. (1994) Temporal aspects of the development of root disease epidemics. pp.
149-193. In: Epidemiology and Management of Root Diseases, Eds C.L. Campbell & D.M.
Benson. Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg.
Thornton, C.R., Dewey, F.M. & Gilligan, C.A. (1994) Development of a monoclonal
antibody-based enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay for the detection of live propagules of
Trichoderma spp. in a peat-bran medium. Soil Biology & Biochemistry
26: 909-920.
Grenfell, B.T., Kleczkowski, A., Ellner, S.P. & Bolker, B.M. (1994)
Nonlinear forecasting and chaos in ecology and epidemiology: measles as a
case study. pp. 321-345 In Forecasting and chaos, ed Tong, H., World Scientific,
Singapore, New Jersey, London, Hongkong.
Grenfell, B.T., Kleczkowski, A., Ellner, S.P. & Bolker,B.M. (1994)
Measles as a case study in nonlinear forecasting and chaos, Philosophical Transactions
of The Royal Society A348: 515-530.
Thornton, C.R., Dewey, F.M. & Gilligan, C.A. (1993) Development of monoclonal
antibody-based immunological assays for the detection of live propagules of Rhizoctonia
solani in soil. Plant Pathology 42: 763-772.
Kleczkowski, A. (1993) Stochastic versus chaotic dynamics for genetic
model - revisited, Acta Physica Polonica B24: 1445-1473.
Kleczkowski, A. (1993) Dynamical systems with impulses: stroboscopic
maps approach, Acta Physica Polonica B24: 1061-1071.
Otten, W. (1993) Verdamping uit grond belangrijke vochtbron. Pages: 34-35 In: J. C.
Bakker (ed.) Luchtvochtigheid. Informatiereeks No. 104. October 1993. Proefstation
voor Tuinbouw onder Glas (Naaldwijk). (English title: Evaporation is an important
component in humidity control).
Otten, W., & Raats, P.A.C. (1992) Dynamics of water and nutrients induced by a flooded
bench fertigation system for potted plants. Agronomy Abstracts1992 p.
225.
Mieras, E.C.M., van Moolenbroek, J. & Otten, W. (1993) Mineralenbalans bij teelt in de
grond, op substraat en bij kamerplanten. Vakblad voor de Bloemisterij plus49a: 46-49. (English title: Nutrient balances for horticultural systems in soil,
soil-less cultures and potted plants)
Otten, W. (1993) Verdamping uit de grond belangrijker dan je denkt. Vakbald voor de
Bloemisterij23 (1993): 32-33. (English title: The evaporation from soil in
horticultural systems is of great importance)
Otten, W. & Voogt, W. (1993) Relatie tussen mineralen en grond of substraat. Vakblad
voor de Bloemisterij plus49a: 28-29. (English title: Soil-nutrient
interactions)
Straver, N., Otten, W. & Voogt, W. (1993) Verdeling van zouten en monstername.
Vakblad voor de Bloemisterij plus49a: 38-39. (English title:
Heterogeneous nutrient distribution and soil sampling,)
Blunt, S.J. Asher, M.J.C. & Gilligan C.A. (1992) The effect of sowing date on infection
of sugar beet by Polymyxa betae.Plant Pathology 41,
148-153.
Otten, W., & Raats, P.A.C. (1992) Dynamics of water and nutrients induced by a flooded
bench fertigation system for potted plants. Agronomy Abstracts1992 p.
225.
Baas, R., Otten, W., & Straver, N. (1992) Zoutgehalte in potgrond varieert. Vakblad voor
de Bloemisterij 30: 34-35. (English title: Salinity varies highly with depth in a
potting medium)
Blunt, S.J. Asher, M.J.C. & Gilligan C.A. (1991) Infection of sugar beet by Polymyxa
betae in relation to soil temperature. Plant Pathology 40,
257-268.
Werker, A.R., Gilligan, C.A. & Hornby, D. (1991) Analysis of shapes of disease progress
curves for take-all in consecutive winter wheat crops Plant Pathology 40,
8-25.
Gilligan, C.A. (1991) Modelling of crop pathogens. In The Art and Craft of
Modelling in Applied Biology, Ed. R. Sylvester-Bradley, D. Robinson, J. Spencer & E.
White Aspects of Applied Biology 26, 111-121.
Gilligan, C.A. (1990) Mathematical modelling and analysis of soilborne pathogens. pp.
96-142. In: Epidemics of Plant Diseases, 2nd ed., Ed by J. Kranz. Springer-Verlag,
Heidelberg.
Gilligan, C.A. (1990) Mathematical models of infection. pp. 207-232. In: The
Rhizosphere, Ed by J. Lynch, Wiley, Chichester.
Gilligan, C.A. & Brassett, P.R. (1990) Modelling and estimation of the relative
potential for infection of winter wheat by inoculum of Gaeumannomyces graminis
derived from propagules and infected roots. Journal of Phytopathology. 129
58-68.
Gilligan, C.A. (1990) Antagonistic interactions involving plant pathogens: fitting and
analysis of models to non-monotonic curves for population and disease dynamics. New
Phytologist. 115 649-665.
Gilligan, C.A. (1990) Comparison of disease progress curves. New Phytologist.
115 223-242.
Brassett, P.R. & Gilligan, C.A. (1990) Effects of self-sown wheat on levels of the
take-all disease on seedlings of winter wheat in a model system. Journal of
Phytopathology. 129 46-57.
Werker, A.R. & Gilligan, C.A. (1990) Use of linear models to investigate the effects of
selected agronomic factors on the dynamics of the take-all disease of wheat in field plots.
Plant Pathology. 39 161-177.
Brassett, P.R. & Gilligan, C.A. (1989) Fitting of simple models for field disease
progress for the take-all fungus. Plant Pathology. 38, 397-407.
Vanniasingham, V. & Gilligan, C.A. (1989) Effects of host, pathogen and environment
factors on the latent period and production of pycnidia of Leptosphaeria maculans on
oilseed rape leaves in controlled environments. Mycological Research 93,
167-174.
Gudowska-Nowak, E., Williams, G.O. & Kleczkowski, A. (1989) Stochastic
vs.chaotic dynamics in a deterministic system, Journal of Statistical Physics54: 539-548.
Kleczkowski, A (1989) On the different forms of master equations:
dynamical Ising model, Acta Physica Polonica A75: 365-376.
Brassett, P.R. & Gilligan, C.A. (1988) A model for primary and secondary infection in
botanical epidemics. Zeitschrift für Pflanzenkrankheiten und Pflanzenschutz.
95, 352-360.
Brassett, P.R. & Gilligan, C.A. (1988) A discrete probability model for polycyclic
infection by soil-borne plant parasites. New Phytologist 109,
183-191.
Vanniasingham, V. & Gilligan, C.A. (1988) Effects of biotic and abiotic factors on
germination of pycnidiospores of Leptosphaeria maculans in vitro. Transactions of
the British Mycological Society 90, 415-420.
Gilligan, C.A. (1988) Analysis of the spatial pattern of soilborne pathogens pp. 85-98.
In: Techniques in the Study of Plant Disease Epidemiology. Ed by J. Kranz and J.
Rotem. Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg.
Gilligan, C.A. (1988) Probability distributions: analysis and modelling. Binary,
13, 17-19.
Kleczkowski, A. (1988) Some formal properties of the time-symmetry
breaking operator, Acta Physica Polonica A73: 19-24.
Gilligan, C.A. & Simons, S.A. (1987) Inoculum efficiency and pathozone width for two
host-parasite systems. New Phytologist 107, 549-566.
Gilligan, C.A. (1987) Epidemiology of soil-borne plant pathogens. pp. 119-133.
In:Populations of Plant Pathogens: Their Dynamics and Genetics, Ed M.S. Wolfe &
C.E. Caten. Blackwells, Oxford.
Kleczkowski, A. & Fuliski, A (1987) Nonlinear maps with time delay,
Physica Scripta,35: 119-122.
Gilligan, C.A. (1986) Mathematical and statistical approaches to the analysis and
modelling of soil-borne disease with reference to Allium white rot. pp. 6:1-10. In:
Proceedings of the Third International Workshop on Allium White Rot,
Wellesbourne. Ed by A.R. Entwistle. T.W. Printing Assocs, Leamington Spa.
Gilligan, C.A. (1986) Use and misuse of the analysis of variance in plant pathology. pp.
225-261. In: Advances in Plant Pathology, Vol. 5. Ed by D.S. Ingram & P.H.
Williams. Academic Press, London.
Gilligan, C.A. (1985) Probability models for host infections by soilborne plant
pathogens. Phytopathology 75, 61-67.
Gilligan, C.A. (1985) Mathematical Modelling of Crop Disease. Advances in
Plant Pathology Vol. 3. (Editor) Academic Press, London.
Gilligan, C.A. (1985) Construction of temporal models: III Disease progress of
soil-borne pathogens. pp. 66-108. In: Mathematical Modelling of Crop Disease, Ed
by C.A. Gilligan. Academic Press, London.
Gilligan, C.A. (1985) Introduction (to mathematical modelling of crop disease). pp.
1-10, Chapter 1. In: Mathematical Modelling of Crop Disease, Ed by C.A. Gilligan.
Academic Press, London.
Gilligan, C.A. (1985) Dynamics of root colonisation by the take-all fungus. pp. 84-87.
In: Ecology and Management of Soilborne Plant Pathogens. Ed by C.A. Parker, A.D.
Rovira, K.J. Moore, P.T.W. Wong and J.F. Kolmorgen. American Phytopathological Society, St
Paul.
Gilligan, C.A. (1983) A test for randomness of soil-borne infection based upon presence
or absence of infection. Phytopathology 73, 300-303.
Gilligan, C.A. (1982) Size and shape of sampling units for estimating incidence of sharp
eyespot, Rhizoctonia cerealis in plots of wheat. Journal of Agricultural
Science99, 461-464.
Gilligan, C.A. (1982) Statistical analysis of the spatial pattern of chocolate spot on
field beans. Transactions of the British Mycological Society 79,
193-200.
Maddock, S.E., Ingram, D.S. & Gilligan, C.A. (1981) The resistance of cultivated
brassicas to Pyrenopeziza brassicae. Transactions of the British Mycological
Society 76, 371-382.
Gilligan, C.A., Pechan, P.M., Day, R. & Hill, S.A. (1980) Beet western yellows virus on
oilseed rape (Brassica napus L.), Plant Pathology 29,
53.
Gilligan, C.A. (1980) Size and shape of sampling units for estimating incidence of stem
canker on oil-seed rape stubble in field plots after swathing. Journal of Agricultural
Science 94, 493-496.
Gilligan, C.A. (1980) Inoculum potential of Gaeumannomyces graminis var.
tritici and disease potential of wheat roots. Transactions of the British
Mycological Society 75, 419-424.
Gilligan, C.A. (1980) Zone of potential infection between host roots and inoculum units
of the take-all fungus, Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici. Soil Biology
& Biochemistry 12, 513-514.
Gilligan, C.A. (1980) Dynamics of root colonisation by the take-all fungus,
Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici. Soil Biology & Biochemistry
12, 507-512.
Gilligan, C.A. (1980) Colonization of lateral, seminal and adventitious roots of wheat
by the take-all fungus, Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici. Journal of
Agricultural Science 94, 325-329.
